Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Montana State

61.4%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -159

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 74

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreIdaho 78

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho

53.6MMH Power Index53.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.3

9.5Net Efficiency7.3

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

68.1Tempo69.7

55.1%Effective FG%52.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–53.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.5–7.3), recent form (4.9–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1).

Final

Montana State

89—92

Idaho

Idaho by 3 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho

32-55FG34-68

58.0%FG%50.0%

8-143PT13-29

57.0%3PT%45.0%

17-21FT11-14

81.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds29

8Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

12Turnovers5

4Steals6

3Blocks2

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	36	7-11	2-3	4-4	6	4	1	0	20
Chris Hodges	F	30	8-12	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	1	18
Patrick McMahon	G	32	5-10	0-1	6-8	3	0	1	1	16
Davian Brown	G	34	5-7	3-4	2-3	2	3	1	0	15
Jeremiah Davis	G	29	4-5	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	9
Christian King	F	21	1-6	1-3	3-4	6	0	0	0	6
Jaden Steppe	F	10	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Seth Amunrud	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kolton Mitchell	G	34	8-18	4-9	3-3	2	4	0	0	23
Biko Johnson	G	33	9-14	5-6	0-0	2	2	2	0	23
Isaiah Brickner	G	21	5-11	1-5	3-4	3	2	2	0	14
Jackson Rasmussen	F	24	5-9	0-1	3-4	8	0	0	0	13
Brody Rowbury	F	25	4-6	1-1	2-2	6	0	0	0	11
Jack Payne	G	26	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Seth Joba	F	20	1-3	1-3	0-1	0	0	0	2	3
Miles Klapper	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Trevon Blassingame	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ewan Steele	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan Sevilla	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

130.1Offensive Efficiency134.5

134.5Defensive Efficiency130.1

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

65.5%Effective FG%59.6%

68.5%True Shooting %61.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate7.4%

38.2%Free Throw Rate20.6%

25.5%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Idaho won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.