UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.0%UNC Wilmington

29.0%Stony Brook

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -245

Stony Brook

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 74

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreStony Brook 70

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricStony Brook

59.2MMH Power Index46.6

114.1Offensive Efficiency105.9

101.7Defensive Efficiency105.0

12.4Net Efficiency0.9

-1.5Strength of Schedule-0.7

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

66.9Tempo67.7

51.1%Effective FG%51.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

41.7%Free Throw Rate28.9%

8.3Average Margin0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–46.6), offensive efficiency (114.1–105.9), defensive efficiency (101.7–105.0), net efficiency (12.4–0.9).

Stony Brook COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-1.5).

Final

UNC Wilmington

75—71

Stony Brook

UNC Wilmington by 4 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATStony Brook

28-59FG28-60

47.0%FG%47.0%

12-253PT10-29

48.0%3PT%34.0%

7-15FT5-6

47.0%FT%83.0%

36Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists18

10Turnovers10

6Steals7

3Blocks7

8Fouls16

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Hodge	G	36	8-17	6-12	0-0	6	1	1	0	22
Patrick Wessler	F	33	7-12	0-0	0-1	12	1	1	1	14
Madison Durr	G	21	3-6	3-4	3-7	0	1	0	0	12
Greedy Williams	G	35	3-5	1-1	3-4	4	7	0	1	10
Christian May	G	31	4-9	0-3	1-2	4	2	2	0	9
Noah Ross	G	32	2-7	2-4	0-0	5	3	2	1	6
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Stony Brook

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Erik Pratt	G	36	10-20	3-8	1-1	3	3	0	0	24
Rob Brown III	G	36	8-12	6-9	2-3	2	2	0	0	24
Andrej Shoshkikj	G	24	4-6	0-1	0-0	1	4	2	0	8
Jonah Butler	G	12	1-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	1	1	5
Oleg Kojenets	F	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Richard Goods	F	20	1-5	0-3	0-0	5	2	2	2	2
Tomas Valentiny	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	2
Toby Onyekonwu	G	12	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Quin Gorman	F	23	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	2	1	4	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

114.5Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency114.5

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

57.6%Effective FG%55.0%

56.7%True Shooting %56.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate10.0%

42.4%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.