Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Cal State Northridge

60.9%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -156

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 82

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 86

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricCal State Fullerton

50MMH Power Index49.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.8

105.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

2.1Net Efficiency1.7

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

75.9Tempo76.3

51.0%Effective FG%52.6%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.6Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–49.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.1), net efficiency (2.1–1.7), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.3), recent form (2.7–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.0).

Final

Cal State Northridge

79—86

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 7 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

32-69FG28-60

46.0%FG%47.0%

9-273PT11-27

33.0%3PT%41.0%

6-16FT19-28

38.0%FT%68.0%

38Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds8

21Assists22

14Turnovers11

6Steals11

5Blocks3

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua O'Garro	G	39	11-17	4-7	2-6	13	6	2	1	28
Josiah Davis	G	37	7-16	0-0	1-3	5	4	2	0	15
Larry Hughes II	G	33	4-19	3-12	2-3	3	1	0	2	13
James Evans Jr.	G	25	4-7	2-5	0-2	2	5	0	1	10
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	4-5	0-0	0-1	10	2	2	1	8
Aleks Szymczyk	C	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Grady Lewis	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Davius Loury	F	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Brinson	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Jai Chisolm	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Williams	G	33	8-17	5-12	0-0	8	4	4	0	21
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	32	5-10	2-5	5-6	7	4	2	1	17
Landon Seaman	F	26	4-6	1-2	5-6	2	0	1	0	14
Bryce Cofield	G	29	4-8	0-0	4-8	12	4	2	1	12
Joshua Ward	G	29	2-8	1-3	4-6	2	4	0	0	9
Jaden Henderson	G	14	3-6	1-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	7
Bailey Nunn	G	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Kendrick De Luna	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
KJ Garris	G	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

101.4Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

-9.0Net Efficiency9.0

52.9%Effective FG%55.8%

51.6%True Shooting %58.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

23.2%Free Throw Rate46.7%

39.1%3-Point Rate45.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.