UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.1%UC San Diego

29.9%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -234

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 72

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricUC Riverside

53.4MMH Power Index41.2

108.4Offensive Efficiency103.1

100.7Defensive Efficiency110.1

7.7Net Efficiency-7.0

-1.3Strength of Schedule0.5

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

69.8Tempo70.7

53.1%Effective FG%49.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.4Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (108.4–103.1), defensive efficiency (100.7–110.1), net efficiency (7.7–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.3), offensive rebounding (28.5–26.9), free throw rate (35.2–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

69—66

UC Riverside

UC San Diego by 3 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATUC Riverside

24-48FG21-57

50.0%FG%37.0%

4-183PT7-25

22.0%3PT%28.0%

17-25FT17-20

68.0%FT%85.0%

35Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds13

6Assists11

12Turnovers13

5Steals6

2Blocks2

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bol Dengdit	F	29	7-14	1-6	2-4	2	0	1	0	17
Tom Beattie	G	34	5-8	1-2	0-2	11	2	1	1	11
Leo Beath	F	29	3-5	1-1	4-5	4	0	0	1	11
Hudson Mayes	G	20	1-3	0-0	7-7	4	0	1	0	9
Emanuel Prospere II	G	24	4-6	0-2	0-2	2	4	1	0	8
Alex Chaikin	G	21	2-4	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Trap Johnson	G	15	1-3	0-2	2-3	1	0	0	0	4
Aidan Burke	G	21	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Henderson	G	31	8-20	3-11	8-8	2	2	0	0	27
Tyler Jones	G	34	5-10	4-7	3-3	4	2	2	0	17
Osiris Grady	F	38	6-13	0-4	3-5	6	1	1	2	15
BJ Kolly	F	21	2-5	0-1	1-2	5	4	0	0	5
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	34	0-4	0-1	2-2	6	0	1	0	2
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	31	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	0
Ben Waller	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Dylan Godfrey	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

106.6Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency106.6

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

54.2%Effective FG%43.0%

57.6%True Shooting %49.6%

19.1%Turnover Rate19.5%

52.1%Free Throw Rate35.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate43.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.