Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Weber State

71.1%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -246

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 78

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 85

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricNorthern Colorado

50.2MMH Power Index53.7

113.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

108.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

5.4Net Efficiency8.4

-3.4Strength of Schedule-4.3

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

71.5Tempo71.1

52.6%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

38.3%Free Throw Rate27.8%

3.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–113.6), defensive efficiency (107.6–108.2), net efficiency (8.4–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.3), offensive rebounding (32.6–27.9), free throw rate (38.3–27.8).

Final

Weber State

76—71

Northern Colorado

Weber State by 5 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

25-53FG27-59

47.0%FG%46.0%

3-103PT1-14

30.0%3PT%7.0%

23-33FT16-20

70.0%FT%80.0%

30Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds14

4Assists11

9Turnovers11

6Steals5

—Blocks2

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	28	7-12	0-0	4-10	8	0	1	18
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	22	3-6	1-3	10-11	1	1	1	17
Nigel Burris	F	20	4-5	0-0	3-3	2	1	0	11
Viljami Vartiainen	G	30	3-6	1-3	2-3	0	0	1	9
Malek Gomma	F	28	4-12	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	8
Jace Whiting	G	34	2-8	1-3	0-0	4	0	2	5
Trevor Hennig	G	18	1-2	0-1	2-4	3	1	0	4
ArDarius Grayson	G	16	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	4
Duce Paschal	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
David Hansen	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	37	6-18	0-5	5-7	4	7	0	0	17
Brock Wisne	F	35	6-13	0-2	5-6	7	2	2	1	17
Ring Nyeri	F	28	8-9	0-1	0-0	8	0	2	1	16
Egan Shields	C	20	3-6	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Vincent Delano	G	22	2-5	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Zach Bloch	G	27	1-5	0-3	2-3	1	0	1	0	4
Ibu Yamazaki	F	30	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Tanner Braketa	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

114.1Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency114.1

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

50.0%Effective FG%46.6%

55.3%True Shooting %51.8%

13.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

62.3%Free Throw Rate33.9%

18.9%3-Point Rate23.7%

0.44Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Weber State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.