Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.7%Southern Utah

92.3%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -1199

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 66

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 83

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricCalifornia Baptist

40.6MMH Power Index58.3

105.6Offensive Efficiency106.5

110.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

-4.4Net Efficiency7.5

-3.0Strength of Schedule1.8

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

72.3Tempo68.2

52.6%Effective FG%48.8%

19.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-3.2Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–40.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–105.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–-4.4).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.6–48.8).

Final

Southern Utah

55—58

California Baptist

California Baptist by 3 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

20-57FG21-68

35.0%FG%31.0%

6-213PT5-22

29.0%3PT%23.0%

9-12FT11-19

75.0%FT%58.0%

42Rebounds47

14Offensive Rebounds22

7Assists7

12Turnovers6

4Steals7

6Blocks2

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaiden Feroah	F	33	7-11	1-2	1-2	6	0	1	1	16
Tanner Hayhurst	G	29	3-7	1-3	2-2	5	1	0	0	9
Cale Barclay	F	18	2-7	0-3	5-5	4	2	0	0	9
Elijah Duval	G	29	3-11	2-4	0-1	5	3	1	1	8
Jalen Lee	G	23	2-7	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Cottrell	F	26	1-8	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	3	2
Dylan Jones	G	24	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Kai Burdick	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Logan Stephens	G	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Lorenzo Abellar	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	7-28	1-6	5-9	1	3	0	0	20
Jayden Jackson	G	33	5-13	3-8	0-2	2	0	1	0	13
Thomas Ndong	F	18	3-4	0-0	2-2	11	0	1	0	8
Bradey Henige	F	22	3-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	2	0	7
Jonathan Griman	F	25	2-5	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Jordan Muller	G	27	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Devon Malcolm	F	12	0-3	0-1	3-4	3	0	0	0	3
Miles Daniels	G	16	0-6	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Rene D'Amelio	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

90.3Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency90.3

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

40.4%Effective FG%34.6%

43.9%True Shooting %37.7%

19.8%Turnover Rate9.8%

21.1%Free Throw Rate27.9%

36.8%3-Point Rate32.4%

0.58Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.