Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Middle Tennessee

59.0%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -144

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 73

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 76

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricNew Mexico State

52.5MMH Power Index51.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.9

105.7Defensive Efficiency104.5

3.9Net Efficiency4.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-0.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

68.8Tempo68.9

52.2%Effective FG%48.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

33.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

2.7Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.5–105.7), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), ball security (15.2–16.7), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.3).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.9), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.7).

Final

Middle Tennessee

59—55

New Mexico State

Middle Tennessee by 4 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATNew Mexico State

20-50FG18-52

40.0%FG%35.0%

4-193PT6-25

21.0%3PT%24.0%

15-24FT13-22

63.0%FT%59.0%

38Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists11

9Turnovers11

7Steals5

2Blocks1

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Torey Alston	F	32	4-8	0-1	8-12	5	1	1	0	16
Jahvin Carter	G	32	4-11	1-3	1-2	7	5	1	0	10
Kamari Lands	G	26	4-10	1-3	0-0	2	0	2	1	9
Chris Loofe	F	34	2-4	0-1	4-5	8	1	0	1	8
James Dent Jr.	G	16	2-4	0-2	2-4	3	2	0	0	6
Alec Oglesby	G	30	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Sean Smith	G	15	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Tre Green	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-1	4	0	0	0	3
Luka Jovanovic	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	22	5-10	1-3	5-7	5	2	2	0	16
Cyr Malonga	C	21	4-6	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	10
Jayland Randall	G	18	2-6	2-6	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	20	2-7	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Julius Mims	F	30	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	1	1	0	5
Gabe Pickens	G	18	1-5	0-1	2-4	2	3	1	0	4
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	31	1-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Elijah Elliott	G	21	1-8	0-5	0-1	1	3	0	0	2
Kyrese Mullen	F	19	0-2	0-1	1-4	7	2	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

90.8Offensive Efficiency84.6

84.6Defensive Efficiency90.8

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

44.0%Effective FG%40.4%

48.0%True Shooting %44.0%

14.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

48.0%Free Throw Rate42.3%

38.0%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.