Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%Utah State

45.5%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -120

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 78

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricBoise State

65.7MMH Power Index59.5

119.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

16.6Net Efficiency6.8

3.5Strength of Schedule4.2

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.6Tempo68.6

56.9%Effective FG%52.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate42.7%

11.4Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (119.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–107.1), net efficiency (16.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.5), recent form (5.2–0.3), offensive rebounding (33.8–33.0).

Final

Utah State

93—68

Boise State

Utah State by 25 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATBoise State

33-58FG21-57

57.0%FG%37.0%

11-253PT7-26

44.0%3PT%27.0%

16-21FT19-25

76.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists10

8Turnovers12

6Steals4

3Blocks4

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	27	8-13	5-9	4-5	2	1	0	0	25
Mason Falslev	G	34	4-7	1-2	7-8	9	5	3	1	16
Drake Allen	G	25	6-7	2-3	0-1	1	8	0	0	14
Adlan Elamin	F	30	3-7	1-4	2-2	1	0	2	0	9
Kolby King	G	18	3-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Karson Templin	F	17	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	7
Elijah Perryman	G	15	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	3	0	2	6
Garry Clark	F	14	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	6
Zach Keller	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Luke Kearney	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tucker Anderson	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordy Barnes	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Andrews	G	30	5-13	2-8	4-5	0	0	0	0	16
Dominic Parolin	F	31	4-8	0-0	4-5	6	5	0	2	12
Pearson Carmichael	F	28	3-10	1-6	5-6	2	1	1	0	12
Andrew Meadow	F	21	3-4	0-1	3-5	4	0	0	0	9
Aginaldo Neto	G	24	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Spencer Ahrens	F	17	2-7	0-1	1-2	6	1	1	0	5
RJ Keene II	G	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	2	1	3
Javan Buchanan	F	10	1-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Drew Fielder	C	15	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
Rayzhon Bergersen	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bhan Buom	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

142.0Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency142.0

38.2Net Efficiency-38.2

66.4%Effective FG%43.0%

68.4%True Shooting %49.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

36.2%Free Throw Rate43.9%

43.1%3-Point Rate45.6%

2.38Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Utah State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.