Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Northern Kentucky

54.1%Green Bay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGreen Bay -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGreen Bay -118

Green Bay

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricGreen Bay

53.9MMH Power Index50.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency114.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.0

7.8Net Efficiency0.0

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.1

72.3Tempo65.7

54.5%Effective FG%55.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate42.4%

5.7Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–50.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–114.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.0), net efficiency (7.8–0.0).

Green Bay COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-2.9), recent form (5.1–4.6), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.5).

Final

Northern Kentucky

78—80

Green Bay

Green Bay by 2 • 60.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATGreen Bay

26-58FG30-52

45.0%FG%58.0%

10-263PT10-19

38.0%3PT%53.0%

16-20FT10-15

80.0%FT%67.0%

25Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists20

3Turnovers9

7Steals1

1Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	30	10-15	4-6	7-8	1	1	2	0	31
LJ Wells	F	34	4-8	1-3	4-6	7	2	1	0	13
Ethan Elliott	G	33	3-11	3-5	2-2	3	7	2	0	11
Tae Dozier	G	31	2-4	1-3	1-1	6	0	2	1	6
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Dan Gherezgher	G	26	2-6	0-2	1-1	3	2	0	0	5
Kael Robinson	F	26	1-8	1-6	1-2	2	3	0	0	4
Ryan Tolliver	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Allen	G	30	10-17	2-6	5-7	5	1	0	0	27
Caden Wilkins	F	30	6-11	5-9	0-1	3	1	0	0	17
Marcus Hall	F	35	4-5	1-1	4-4	6	9	0	0	13
Preston Ruedinger	G	37	3-6	2-3	1-2	6	7	0	0	9
C.J. O'Hara	G	39	4-7	0-0	0-1	3	2	1	0	8
Ramel Bethea	F	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	6
LeBron Thomas	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Keegan Van Kauwenberg	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.3Possessions60.3

129.4Offensive Efficiency132.7

132.7Defensive Efficiency129.4

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

53.4%Effective FG%67.3%

57.8%True Shooting %67.7%

4.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

34.5%Free Throw Rate28.8%

44.8%3-Point Rate36.5%

5.33Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Green Bay won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.