Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Cincinnati

50.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -102

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreUCF 76

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricUCF

61.5MMH Power Index57.1

105.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.0Net Efficiency3.3

5.1Strength of Schedule6.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.4Tempo71.2

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.5Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

Cincinnati

72—73

UCF

UCF by 1 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATUCF

32-67FG30-52

48.0%FG%58.0%

3-193PT6-14

16.0%3PT%43.0%

5-8FT7-9

63.0%FT%78.0%

27Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds4

19Assists20

7Turnovers14

9Steals1

3Blocks3

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Moustapha Thiam	C	31	10-15	1-2	3-3	5	0	1	0	24
Jizzle James	G	35	7-14	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	14
Baba Miller	F	29	6-11	0-1	1-1	7	4	2	2	13
Day Day Thomas	G	34	3-8	1-3	0-2	4	4	1	1	7
Jalen Celestine	G	27	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Sencire Harris	G	26	2-8	0-3	1-2	3	6	3	0	5
Tyler McKinley	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Shon Abaev	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Keyshuan Tillery	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Halvine Dzellat	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	35	7-10	2-4	3-4	5	6	0	0	19
Jamichael Stillwell	F	34	7-13	0-2	1-1	4	0	0	0	15
Jeremy Foumena	C	30	6-8	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	12
Chris Johnson	G	26	3-4	2-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	10
Jordan Burks	F	17	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	0	0	1	7
Themus Fulks	G	35	3-7	0-0	0-0	2	12	0	0	6
Devan Cambridge	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
John Bol	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
George Beale Jr.	G	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency107.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

50.0%Effective FG%63.5%

50.8%True Shooting %64.9%

10.3%Turnover Rate21.1%

11.9%Free Throw Rate17.3%

28.4%3-Point Rate26.9%

2.71Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

UCF won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.