Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Northwestern

36.6%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -173

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreRutgers 72

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricRutgers

55.4MMH Power Index45.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency104.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency112.2

1.8Net Efficiency-8.0

5.6Strength of Schedule3.9

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

65.6Tempo67.4

51.9%Effective FG%47.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.3%

1.2Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–45.9), offensive efficiency (111.6–104.2), defensive efficiency (109.8–112.2), net efficiency (1.8–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.6–-2.7), offensive rebounding (29.2–28.2), free throw rate (36.3–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

75—77

Rutgers

Rutgers by 2 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATRutgers

26-63FG26-64

41.0%FG%41.0%

6-183PT6-19

33.0%3PT%32.0%

17-29FT19-27

59.0%FT%70.0%

40Rebounds47

11Offensive Rebounds13

20Assists14

6Turnovers6

5Steals4

6Blocks4

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	44	11-22	2-3	10-13	12	1	0	0	34
Arrinten Page	F	21	5-7	0-1	4-8	6	0	0	2	14
Jake West	G	30	3-8	3-5	0-1	2	4	0	2	9
Tre Singleton	F	26	1-6	0-1	3-4	4	1	0	1	5
Jayden Reid	G	31	2-8	0-1	0-1	0	6	1	0	4
Angelo Ciaravino	G	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	3	2	1	4
Jordan Clayton	G	34	1-3	1-3	0-0	7	2	0	0	3
Justin Mullins	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	2	2	0	2
K.J. Windham	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Max Green	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	35	10-22	2-4	8-9	3	3	1	0	30
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	41	4-13	0-0	6-10	10	2	2	1	14
Jamichael Davis	G	26	3-4	2-2	2-4	5	4	1	0	10
Kaden Powers	G	23	4-8	1-4	0-0	5	3	0	0	9
Chris Nwuli	F	13	1-2	1-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	5
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Bryce Dortch	F	23	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
Lino Mark	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Dylan Grant	F	20	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Harun Zrno	G	17	0-6	0-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Denis Badalau	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

105.9Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

46.0%Effective FG%45.3%

48.8%True Shooting %50.1%

8.4%Turnover Rate8.6%

46.0%Free Throw Rate42.2%

28.6%3-Point Rate29.7%

3.33Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.