Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.8%Villanova

48.2%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -107

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricProvidence

59.4MMH Power Index54.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

8.8Net Efficiency1.8

4.4Strength of Schedule4.0

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.3Tempo74.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.4%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–54.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.2), net efficiency (8.8–1.8), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.9), free throw rate (37.3–31.4).

Final

Villanova

88—82

Providence

Villanova by 6 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATProvidence

32-64FG31-56

50.0%FG%55.0%

10-283PT8-25

36.0%3PT%32.0%

14-18FT12-17

78.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds27

14Offensive Rebounds7

21Assists12

10Turnovers13

7Steals6

1Blocks3

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	27	6-12	3-7	5-6	2	7	1	0	20
Tyler Perkins	G	31	6-12	3-5	0-1	8	2	0	0	15
Duke Brennan	F	30	6-8	0-0	2-2	8	0	1	1	14
Matt Hodge	F	25	4-6	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Malachi Palmer	G	24	4-6	1-3	1-1	1	0	2	0	10
Bryce Lindsay	G	24	2-10	2-8	3-4	6	2	1	0	9
Acaden Lewis	G	35	3-9	0-2	1-2	2	8	2	0	7
Braden Pierce	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	35	9-18	4-12	2-3	3	3	1	1	24
Jamier Jones	F	31	8-12	0-2	7-10	2	1	2	1	23
Stefan Vaaks	G	37	8-14	3-8	2-2	1	1	0	0	21
Ryan Mela	G	22	2-4	0-1	1-2	4	3	1	0	5
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Duncan Powell	F	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	3
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	26	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	0	2
Cole Hargrove	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

126.8Offensive Efficiency118.2

118.2Defensive Efficiency126.8

8.6Net Efficiency-8.6

57.8%Effective FG%62.5%

60.6%True Shooting %64.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.6%

28.1%Free Throw Rate30.4%

43.8%3-Point Rate44.6%

2.10Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Villanova won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.