Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.6%Dayton

37.4%Duquesne

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -167

Duquesne

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 76

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreDuquesne 74

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricDuquesne

59.9MMH Power Index50.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

101.5Defensive Efficiency106.2

7.0Net Efficiency4.4

5.7Strength of Schedule0.6

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

68.3Tempo70.8

52.0%Effective FG%53.4%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

47.6%Free Throw Rate38.2%

4.8Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–50.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.2), net efficiency (7.0–4.4), strength of schedule (5.7–0.6).

Duquesne COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.4–52.0), offensive rebounding (30.6–26.7).

Final

Dayton

71—65

Duquesne

Dayton by 6 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATDuquesne

20-46FG21-51

43.0%FG%41.0%

8-203PT7-25

40.0%3PT%28.0%

23-28FT16-22

82.0%FT%73.0%

31Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists15

10Turnovers12

7Steals6

4Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	34	4-6	1-2	6-8	5	1	1	1	15
Javon Bennett	G	29	4-15	2-7	4-4	5	2	0	0	14
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	31	4-8	1-4	2-2	2	3	3	0	11
Jaiun Simon	F	27	2-5	2-2	4-5	5	1	1	1	10
Jacob Conner	F	27	3-4	1-2	0-0	6	5	2	0	7
Bryce Heard	G	26	1-4	0-1	5-7	6	0	0	0	7
Sean Pouedet	G	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Damon Friery	F	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	2	3

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jimmie Williams	G	32	5-10	2-7	3-4	2	1	2	0	15
Alex Williams	F	22	5-8	2-4	3-5	1	3	0	0	15
Jakub Necas	F	23	4-6	1-1	3-4	4	0	0	2	12
Tarence Guinyard	G	33	2-9	2-6	3-4	4	6	2	0	9
David Dixon	F	28	3-3	0-0	3-3	9	1	1	1	9
John Hugley IV	F	10	1-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Cam Crawford	G	27	1-5	0-2	0-1	1	3	1	0	2
Jake DiMichele	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Brandon Hall	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Maximus Edwards	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dom Aekins	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lazar Milosevic	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

110.2Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency110.2

9.3Net Efficiency-9.3

52.2%Effective FG%48.0%

59.9%True Shooting %52.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

60.9%Free Throw Rate43.1%

43.5%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Dayton won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.