Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Ohio

84.7%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -554

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 75

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreToledo 86

Team Comparison

OhioMetricToledo

48MMH Power Index58.8

109.7Offensive Efficiency116.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

-1.0Net Efficiency6.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule2.3

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

71.0Tempo69.8

52.0%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

37.8%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-0.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–110.7), net efficiency (6.4–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.8–30.3).

Final

Ohio

85—101

Toledo

Toledo by 16 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATToledo

32-64FG39-63

50.0%FG%62.0%

9-233PT7-17

39.0%3PT%41.0%

12-19FT16-17

63.0%FT%94.0%

27Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists22

11Turnovers9

5Steals9

2Blocks—

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Simmons	F	30	8-13	0-1	5-9	6	1	1	1	21
Jackson Paveletzke	G	36	8-17	1-4	3-4	3	6	1	0	20
Aidan Hadaway	F	27	6-11	3-5	1-2	4	0	0	1	16
Jesse Burris	G	14	3-6	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Ajay Sheldon	G	34	2-8	2-7	0-0	3	3	1	0	6
JJ Kelly	G	27	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Kiir Kuany	F	12	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Jalen Breath	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Dior Conners	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	37	9-14	1-3	6-6	2	4	1	25
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	35	8-12	4-6	4-4	5	5	3	24
Sean Craig	F	35	7-12	0-2	1-2	10	3	0	15
Austin Parks	C	18	5-6	0-0	3-3	5	2	0	13
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	29	4-8	1-3	0-0	1	5	2	9
Mynor Strong	G	13	2-4	0-1	2-2	1	2	1	6
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	23	2-5	1-2	0-0	6	0	2	5
Will James Jr.	G	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	4
Tyler Ode	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
London Praytor	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
Toby Nwokolo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Phoenix Glassnor	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

122.1Offensive Efficiency145.1

145.1Defensive Efficiency122.1

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

57.0%Effective FG%67.5%

58.2%True Shooting %71.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.0%

29.7%Free Throw Rate27.0%

35.9%3-Point Rate27.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.44

Game Summary

Toledo won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.