Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%Valparaiso

86.2%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -625

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 70

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreBelmont 83

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricBelmont

49.9MMH Power Index61.8

106.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

105.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

0.8Net Efficiency14.9

0.3Strength of Schedule-0.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.5Tempo70.7

48.7%Effective FG%60.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

0.5Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–49.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–106.6), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.8), net efficiency (14.9–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (15.6–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.8).

Final

Valparaiso

74—78

Belmont

Belmont by 4 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATBelmont

27-62FG32-57

44.0%FG%56.0%

12-313PT8-20

39.0%3PT%40.0%

8-15FT6-6

53.0%FT%100.0%

34Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists17

11Turnovers9

5Steals3

1Blocks5

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	35	8-20	5-14	3-3	3	2	2	0	24
Rakim Chaney	G	33	6-14	3-7	2-2	1	4	2	0	17
Brody Whitaker	G	31	4-9	2-5	1-2	3	2	0	0	11
JT Pettigrew	F	35	4-9	2-3	0-0	12	3	0	0	10
Tucker Tornatta	C	13	2-5	0-2	1-1	6	0	0	1	5
Shon Tupuola	C	26	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Sader Servilus	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Justus McNair	G	13	0-2	0-0	1-4	0	4	1	0	1
Kyonte Thomas	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Carter Hopoi	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Barnes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabez Jenkins	G	35	8-12	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	2	17
Eoin Dillon	F	19	5-7	2-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Jack Smiley	G	18	4-8	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Drew Scharnowski	F	24	4-6	0-0	2-2	7	3	1	1	10
Sam Orme	F	20	5-7	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	1	10
Tyler Lundblade	G	39	2-10	2-9	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Brigham Rogers	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	6
Isaiah West	G	21	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	1	4
Win Miller	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

113.8Offensive Efficiency120.0

120.0Defensive Efficiency113.8

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

53.2%Effective FG%63.2%

53.5%True Shooting %65.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.1%

24.2%Free Throw Rate10.5%

50.0%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Belmont won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.