Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%Florida State

44.6%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSyracuse -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -124

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreSyracuse 79

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricSyracuse

58.7MMH Power Index52.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.5Defensive Efficiency106.6

3.4Net Efficiency2.6

5.7Strength of Schedule5.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

71.8Tempo69.0

52.4%Effective FG%52.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.2%

2.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–52.2), offensive efficiency (111.9–109.2), net efficiency (3.4–2.6), strength of schedule (5.7–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.5), shooting efficiency (52.9–52.4), free throw rate (36.2–35.2).

Final

Florida State

86—94

Syracuse

Syracuse by 8 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATSyracuse

28-62FG37-62

45.0%FG%60.0%

10-273PT11-27

37.0%3PT%41.0%

20-27FT9-15

74.0%FT%60.0%

33Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists22

14Turnovers14

8Steals9

2Blocks7

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe MaGee	G	32	5-12	2-8	8-10	4	3	2	0	20
Martin Somerville	G	22	4-9	4-7	6-7	2	1	2	0	18
Robert McCray V	G	30	5-14	1-5	3-5	4	6	0	0	14
Lajae Jones	G	26	6-10	1-3	0-0	7	0	2	1	13
Alex Steen	F	24	4-4	0-0	0-1	4	1	1	0	8
Thomas Bassong	F	27	2-7	0-2	3-4	3	0	1	0	7
Chauncey Wiggins	F	26	2-4	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Alier Maluk	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
AJ Swinton	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donnie Freeman	F	34	9-12	1-3	6-7	8	2	3	1	25
Tyler Betsey	F	22	6-9	6-8	0-0	0	0	0	0	18
J.J. Starling	G	33	7-10	0-1	1-3	3	3	1	0	15
William Kyle III	F	28	5-7	0-0	1-2	9	1	1	3	11
Naithan George	G	29	3-6	2-5	0-1	4	13	2	0	8
Nate Kingz	G	18	2-7	2-7	0-0	0	0	2	0	6
Sadiq White Jr.	F	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	6
Kiyan Anthony	G	18	2-7	0-3	1-2	3	3	0	0	5
Ibrahim Souare	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

118.0Offensive Efficiency128.9

128.9Defensive Efficiency118.0

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

53.2%Effective FG%68.5%

57.5%True Shooting %68.0%

19.0%Turnover Rate19.4%

43.5%Free Throw Rate24.2%

43.5%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.