Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%Air Force

93.3%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan José State -17.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINESan José State -1393

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 65

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreSan José State 82

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricSan José State

23MMH Power Index42

91.3Offensive Efficiency108.7

118.5Defensive Efficiency118.5

-27.2Net Efficiency-9.8

6.2Strength of Schedule1.8

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

67.4Tempo66.2

49.0%Effective FG%50.8%

21.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

35.9%Free Throw Rate34.2%

-18.3Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San José State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan José State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.0–23.0), offensive efficiency (108.7–91.3), net efficiency (-9.8–-27.2), recent form (-8.6–-33.5).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–1.8), free throw rate (35.9–34.2).

Final

Air Force

62—70

San José State

San José State by 8 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATSan José State

21-47FG23-49

45.0%FG%47.0%

8-223PT6-16

36.0%3PT%38.0%

12-15FT18-24

80.0%FT%75.0%

29Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists9

16Turnovers9

7Steals5

1Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Hobin	F	30	4-9	3-8	5-6	2	0	0	0	16
Ethan Greenberg	G	35	4-10	2-7	3-3	4	0	2	0	13
Kam Sanders	G	30	4-8	2-3	1-3	6	5	1	0	11
Caleb Walker	F	23	4-6	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	1	9
Eli Robinson	F	26	3-8	1-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	7
A.J. Patterson	G	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	4
Kolby Gilles	F	12	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Wesley Celichowski	C	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Justin Hinds	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Roseborough	G	30	6-10	1-3	6-7	2	2	0	0	19
Pasha Goodarzi	G	40	6-14	4-8	2-2	3	3	0	0	18
Adrian Myers	F	26	4-8	1-3	6-6	7	2	1	0	15
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	40	4-6	0-0	2-7	3	0	2	0	10
Sadraque NgaNga	F	31	1-8	0-2	2-2	5	2	0	0	4
Douglas Langford	F	27	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	3	4
Japhet Moupadele	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marcus Overstreet	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency101.1

-13.1Net Efficiency13.1

53.2%Effective FG%53.1%

57.3%True Shooting %57.9%

26.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

31.9%Free Throw Rate49.0%

46.8%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

San José State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.