Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Boise State

44.1%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -127

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 79

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreUNLV 78

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricUNLV

59.5MMH Power Index52.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency111.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

6.8Net Efficiency1.4

4.2Strength of Schedule2.7

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

68.6Tempo71.4

52.7%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.6%

4.7Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–52.8), offensive efficiency (113.9–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.6), net efficiency (6.8–1.4).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.7–52.7).

Final

Boise State

85—89

UNLV

UNLV by 4 • 80.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATUNLV

30-61FG31-66

49.0%FG%47.0%

3-143PT7-21

21.0%3PT%33.0%

22-29FT20-28

76.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists16

15Turnovers13

9Steals9

3Blocks5

26Fouls26

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	38	8-17	1-4	6-8	4	1	1	0	23
Andrew Meadow	F	38	8-12	0-2	5-8	6	1	2	0	21
Dylan Andrews	G	30	4-8	0-1	6-6	2	4	1	0	14
Pearson Carmichael	F	18	4-9	1-3	5-6	4	0	1	1	14
Dominic Parolin	F	33	4-7	0-1	0-1	7	1	2	0	8
Spencer Ahrens	F	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	5
Aginaldo Neto	G	26	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	1	0
RJ Keene II	G	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	5	1	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	45	11-23	2-8	9-12	5	6	1	0	33
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	35	6-13	3-6	2-2	4	4	1	0	17
Kimani Hamilton	F	35	5-9	1-3	5-6	5	2	1	0	16
Issac Williamson	G	22	4-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	9
Tyrin Jones	F	33	2-7	0-0	2-3	4	2	4	3	6
Emmanuel Stephen	C	26	3-5	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	1	6
Jacob Bannarbie	F	18	0-3	0-1	2-4	8	2	0	1	2
Al Green	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Walter Brown	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.1Possessions80.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency106.1

-5.0Net Efficiency5.0

51.6%Effective FG%52.3%

56.8%True Shooting %56.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

47.5%Free Throw Rate42.4%

23.0%3-Point Rate31.8%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

UNLV won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 80.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.