Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Illinois State

35.6%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -181

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 75

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricIndiana State

54.3MMH Power Index44.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

101.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

9.2Net Efficiency-1.3

1.0Strength of Schedule0.1

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo70.3

54.3%Effective FG%53.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

6.2Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (101.4–106.0), net efficiency (9.2–-1.3).

Final

Illinois State

89—94

Indiana State

Indiana State by 5 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATIndiana State

31-56FG32-57

55.0%FG%56.0%

9-213PT8-24

43.0%3PT%33.0%

18-24FT22-30

75.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists26

8Turnovers6

4Steals4

2Blocks3

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	27	6-10	0-0	9-11	4	0	1	2	21
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	27	6-9	2-4	4-6	4	1	2	0	18
Boden Skunberg	G	27	5-9	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Johnny Kinziger	G	35	4-11	0-4	3-4	1	3	0	0	11
Landon Wolf	G	24	4-4	2-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Mason Klabo	G	12	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Landon Moore	G	16	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Brandon Lieb	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Ty Pence	G	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jack Daugherty	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Hall	G	25	5-8	2-5	4-5	4	3	0	0	16
Sterling Young	G	26	5-7	1-3	3-4	0	5	1	0	14
Enel St. Bernard	F	22	5-7	0-0	4-6	6	2	0	2	14
Ian Scott	F	31	5-8	0-2	3-4	6	3	1	1	13
Derek Vorst	C	21	4-5	1-1	2-3	5	1	0	0	11
Bruno Alocen	G	23	2-4	1-2	4-6	2	3	1	0	9
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	9	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Camp Wagner	G	27	1-10	1-8	2-2	2	4	1	0	5
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	5	0	0	5

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

129.2Offensive Efficiency136.4

136.4Defensive Efficiency129.2

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

63.4%Effective FG%63.2%

66.0%True Shooting %66.0%

11.7%Turnover Rate8.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate52.6%

37.5%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.25Assist / Turnover4.33

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.