East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.8%East Carolina

96.2%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -22.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -2532

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 69

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 91

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricSouth Florida

44.3MMH Power Index68.8

102.0Offensive Efficiency117.3

110.5Defensive Efficiency101.6

-8.5Net Efficiency15.7

2.6Strength of Schedule1.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

70.1Tempo74.5

46.7%Effective FG%51.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

40.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-5.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–44.3), offensive efficiency (117.3–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.5), net efficiency (15.7–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–1.8).

Final

East Carolina

71—82

South Florida

South Florida by 11 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATSouth Florida

25-61FG25-65

41.0%FG%38.0%

6-213PT12-31

29.0%3PT%39.0%

15-25FT20-26

60.0%FT%77.0%

40Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists19

11Turnovers7

4Steals9

7Blocks4

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	39	9-23	0-2	7-8	10	2	0	0	25
Giovanni Emejuru	C	33	6-6	0-0	5-12	10	0	0	6	17
Eli DeLaurier	F	12	4-8	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	10
Isaiah Mbeng	G	23	2-8	2-7	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Tybo Bailey	G	28	1-6	0-3	3-5	3	1	1	0	5
Corey Caulker	G	25	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	4	1	0	3
Demitri Gardner	G	17	1-4	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Reid Cason	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Luke Davis	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Paddy D'Arcy	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Omojafo	G	25	5-8	2-2	6-7	6	4	0	0	18
Wes Enis	G	31	4-13	3-9	3-4	1	5	3	0	14
Izaiyah Nelson	F	24	5-8	0-0	4-6	7	1	2	1	14
CJ Brown	G	21	4-13	1-5	3-4	4	3	1	0	12
Devin Haid	G	20	4-6	3-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	11
Joseph Pinion	G	23	2-11	2-7	3-3	5	1	1	1	9
Daimion Collins	F	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	2	3
Isaiah Jones	F	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	1
Adriel Nyorha	G	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	0
Tristan Beckford	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Gavin Hightower	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

95.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency95.7

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

45.9%Effective FG%47.7%

48.7%True Shooting %53.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate9.5%

41.0%Free Throw Rate40.0%

34.4%3-Point Rate47.7%

0.91Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

South Florida won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.