East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%East Tennessee State

50.5%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -102

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 77

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 77

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricWestern Carolina

57.4MMH Power Index53

115.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

102.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

12.3Net Efficiency1.6

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.9

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

67.4Tempo69.7

55.4%Effective FG%51.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

35.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

8.3Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.8–111.0), net efficiency (12.3–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-1.6), recent form (13.1–3.7), offensive rebounding (36.1–28.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

68—72

Western Carolina

Western Carolina by 4 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATWestern Carolina

22-57FG27-56

39.0%FG%48.0%

7-233PT9-26

30.0%3PT%35.0%

17-23FT9-12

74.0%FT%75.0%

30Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists17

5Turnovers14

10Steals3

2Blocks1

10Fouls17

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	39	7-13	4-7	5-8	6	2	0	0	23
Cam Morris III	F	30	8-14	0-1	3-4	3	4	3	2	19
Blake Barkley	F	35	5-13	1-2	4-5	10	2	2	0	15
Isaiah Sutherland	F	11	1-4	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Allen Strothers	G	23	1-2	1-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	4
Gabe Sisk	G	7	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Jaylen Smith	G	27	0-5	0-4	0-0	0	2	3	0	0
Maki Johnson	G	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jordan McCullum	F	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cord Stansberry	G	31	7-13	5-10	1-1	5	1	0	0	20
Marcus Kell	F	31	6-15	1-6	2-2	5	0	0	0	15
Samuel Dada	F	25	5-6	0-0	3-4	10	2	0	1	13
Julien Soumaoro	G	28	3-8	3-6	0-0	1	3	2	0	9
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	29	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	5	1	0	8
Tahlan Pettway	G	16	1-5	0-3	0-1	3	4	0	0	2
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	C	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Tayeshaun Smith	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
CJ Hyland	G	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Justin Johnson	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

108.3Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency108.3

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

44.7%Effective FG%56.3%

50.1%True Shooting %58.3%

8.1%Turnover Rate22.0%

40.4%Free Throw Rate21.4%

40.4%3-Point Rate46.4%

2.40Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.