Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Missouri State

73.3%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -275

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 74

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 81

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricWestern Kentucky

51.1MMH Power Index55.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

108.4Defensive Efficiency106.2

2.1Net Efficiency4.4

0.5Strength of Schedule1.7

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

67.9Tempo71.7

51.8%Effective FG%48.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.4Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.1), offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (106.2–108.4), net efficiency (4.4–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.8–48.6), offensive rebounding (33.0–31.8).

Final

Missouri State

72—87

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 15 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

24-57FG28-55

42.0%FG%51.0%

9-353PT7-16

26.0%3PT%44.0%

15-20FT24-29

75.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists15

12Turnovers8

5Steals8

2Blocks—

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	35	9-17	1-5	5-7	5	5	0	0	24
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	25	3-5	0-0	7-9	7	2	1	1	13
Trey Williams Jr.	G	31	4-9	4-9	0-0	3	3	1	0	12
Darrion Sutton	F	18	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Kobi Williams	G	37	2-12	2-12	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Zaxton King	G	21	2-7	1-6	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Antwan Burnett	G	29	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	4	2	0	3
Cameron Boone	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Teagan Moore	G	28	6-9	0-2	8-8	5	1	2	20
Grant Newell	F	29	5-11	3-5	1-2	7	0	0	14
Armelo Boone	G	25	5-13	1-3	0-1	4	1	3	11
LJ Hackman	G	18	3-3	1-1	4-4	2	3	0	11
Terrion Murdix	G	26	3-5	0-0	3-4	4	6	1	9
Ryan Myers	G	29	3-6	2-4	0-0	3	2	2	8
Noah Boyde	F	18	2-4	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	6
Blaise Keita	F	12	0-1	0-0	4-4	0	1	0	4
Leeroy Odiahi	F	9	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	4
Cam Haffner	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

108.8Offensive Efficiency131.4

131.4Defensive Efficiency108.8

-22.7Net Efficiency22.7

50.0%Effective FG%57.3%

54.1%True Shooting %63.2%

18.0%Turnover Rate12.2%

35.1%Free Throw Rate52.7%

61.4%3-Point Rate29.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.