Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Drake

80.6%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -415

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 69

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 79

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricSouthern Illinois

46.4MMH Power Index54.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

109.1Defensive Efficiency98.5

0.4Net Efficiency4.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.6

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

68.6Tempo70.6

52.2%Effective FG%49.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.4%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.2Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–46.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–109.1), net efficiency (4.9–0.4), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5), ball security (14.9–17.0).

Final

Drake

76—73

Southern Illinois

Drake by 3 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

25-62FG27-75

40.0%FG%36.0%

8-343PT3-26

24.0%3PT%12.0%

18-25FT16-24

72.0%FT%67.0%

44Rebounds47

9Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists13

14Turnovers8

5Steals10

1Blocks2

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	38	6-12	1-4	8-8	5	4	1	0	21
Eli Shetlar	G	32	6-12	5-11	2-4	11	1	1	0	19
Okku Federiko	F	33	3-10	1-5	5-8	8	2	0	0	12
Jaehshon Thomas	G	20	3-8	0-4	2-2	1	3	0	0	8
Owen Larson	G	32	2-8	0-3	1-2	5	2	0	0	5
Andrew Alia	G	37	2-7	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Isaiah Carr	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-1	5	1	2	1	4
Griffen Goodbary	F	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Braden Appelhans	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	39	7-16	1-6	4-4	7	2	1	0	19
Quel'Ron House	G	35	4-16	0-2	3-5	7	5	7	0	11
Rolyns Aligbe	F	25	3-8	0-1	5-7	11	1	2	0	11
Max Pikaar	F	25	3-5	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	1	9
Prince Aligbe	F	17	3-8	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jalen Haynes	G	17	3-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Drew Steffe	G	31	2-10	1-9	0-0	6	3	0	1	5
Jorge Moreno	F	18	1-2	0-0	2-6	4	1	0	0	4
Davion Sykes	G	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Caden Hawkins	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

96.0Offensive Efficiency92.2

92.2Defensive Efficiency96.0

3.8Net Efficiency-3.8

46.8%Effective FG%38.0%

51.4%True Shooting %42.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate10.1%

40.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

54.8%3-Point Rate34.7%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Drake won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.