UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.7%UCF

35.3%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL164.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -183

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 84

Projected Total164.7

Projected ScoreKansas State 81

Team Comparison

UCFMetricKansas State

57.1MMH Power Index47.1

113.3Offensive Efficiency107.8

110.0Defensive Efficiency110.9

3.3Net Efficiency-3.1

6.6Strength of Schedule5.5

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

71.2Tempo73.8

53.0%Effective FG%53.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

31.1%Free Throw Rate27.4%

2.4Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.3–107.8), defensive efficiency (110.0–110.9), net efficiency (3.3–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–53.0).

Final

UCF

82—73

Kansas State

UCF by 9 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATKansas State

32-61FG29-65

52.0%FG%45.0%

7-153PT6-30

47.0%3PT%20.0%

11-18FT9-15

61.0%FT%60.0%

35Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists25

10Turnovers12

8Steals5

3Blocks1

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	34	6-11	2-4	5-7	7	2	0	1	19
Jamichael Stillwell	F	30	8-14	0-1	2-4	7	1	0	1	18
Themus Fulks	G	38	6-11	1-1	0-0	3	12	3	0	13
Devan Cambridge	F	25	4-4	1-1	2-3	6	2	1	1	11
Chris Johnson	G	22	3-5	1-2	2-2	2	1	2	0	9
Jordan Burks	F	18	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
John Bol	C	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jeremy Foumena	C	9	1-6	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Carmelo Pacheco	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	36	9-18	0-2	5-8	5	5	1	0	23
Khamari McGriff	F	33	7-9	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	15
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	25	4-13	4-13	0-0	2	3	1	0	12
Taj Manning	F	31	5-9	0-4	0-0	7	3	0	0	10
Nate Johnson	G	30	2-9	1-7	2-2	6	10	3	1	7
David Castillo	G	21	2-4	1-2	0-1	1	0	0	0	5
Dorin Buca	C	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
C.J. Jones	G	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

110.2Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency110.2

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

58.2%Effective FG%49.2%

59.0%True Shooting %50.6%

13.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.5%Free Throw Rate23.1%

24.6%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.80Assist / Turnover2.08

Game Summary

UCF won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.