South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.4%South Dakota State

82.6%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -475

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 70

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 81

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricNorth Dakota State

49.6MMH Power Index59

110.6Offensive Efficiency115.4

106.9Defensive Efficiency100.8

3.7Net Efficiency14.6

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.6

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

68.2Tempo69.6

52.6%Effective FG%54.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

30.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

2.6Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–49.6), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.6), defensive efficiency (100.8–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–3.7).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-4.6).

Final

South Dakota State

65—76

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 11 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

24-55FG26-56

44.0%FG%46.0%

9-263PT14-31

35.0%3PT%45.0%

8-12FT10-12

67.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists13

11Turnovers9

7Steals10

3Blocks1

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Jackson	G	39	6-15	3-10	1-2	8	4	4	0	16
Joe Sayler	G	30	4-11	2-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	12
Matthew Mors	F	32	4-6	2-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Damon Wilkinson	C	27	4-7	0-0	2-3	5	2	0	3	10
Kalen Garry	G	32	3-8	1-5	1-2	3	2	2	0	8
Bubz Alvarez	G	13	1-3	0-1	2-3	0	2	1	0	4
Luke Haertle	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Alec Squires	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Caleb Delzell	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Treyson Anderson	F	27	7-12	4-6	2-2	6	1	0	1	20
Trevian Carson	G	34	4-7	3-5	3-3	6	4	3	0	14
Markhi Strickland	G	32	6-9	0-0	0-1	5	2	0	0	12
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	34	4-11	3-8	0-0	8	2	3	0	11
Andy Stefonowicz	G	28	2-6	2-5	4-4	2	3	0	0	10
Tay Smith	G	15	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Emil Skytta	G	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Riley Massey	G	9	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	2	0	1
Noah Feddersen	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

100.5Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency100.5

-17.0Net Efficiency17.0

51.8%Effective FG%58.9%

53.5%True Shooting %61.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

21.8%Free Throw Rate21.4%

47.3%3-Point Rate55.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.