Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Louisiana

84.7%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -554

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 64

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricTexas State

38.6MMH Power Index49.4

99.3Offensive Efficiency107.7

110.2Defensive Efficiency103.4

-10.9Net Efficiency4.3

1.5Strength of Schedule-4.7

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

64.1Tempo68.6

47.1%Effective FG%51.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

29.5%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-7.0Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–38.6), offensive efficiency (107.7–99.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.2), net efficiency (4.3–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-4.7), ball security (16.8–18.4).

Final

Louisiana

54—59

Texas State

Texas State by 5 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATTexas State

17-48FG25-50

35.0%FG%50.0%

7-193PT3-7

37.0%3PT%43.0%

13-19FT6-10

68.0%FT%60.0%

24Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists14

9Turnovers13

7Steals6

5Blocks3

10Fouls15

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dorian Finister	G	34	5-12	2-3	6-9	4	0	1	0	18
De'Vion Lavergne	G	30	4-8	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	10
Jaxon Olvera	G	36	2-9	1-3	1-2	0	1	0	0	6
Mike Collins	G	13	2-3	0-1	1-1	2	2	1	0	5
Karris Bilal	G	12	1-6	1-2	1-2	0	0	0	1	4
Todd Jones Jr.	F	28	1-2	0-1	1-1	6	0	1	3	3
Milan Mejia	G	22	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Dariyus Woodson	F	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Jeremiah Evans	F	6	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	1	2
Kyran Ratliff	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Gumbs	G	40	8-11	1-1	1-2	2	2	2	0	18
DJ Hall	F	33	7-15	0-1	2-4	14	2	1	1	16
Franck Emmou	G	30	4-8	2-2	2-2	0	2	0	0	12
Robert Fields	C	19	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	7
Jalen Bolden	G	30	2-6	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Tay Knox	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kyndall Davis	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	1	0
Jaelyn Lee	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	0	0
Makai Willis	C	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

88.7Offensive Efficiency96.9

96.9Defensive Efficiency88.7

-8.2Net Efficiency8.2

42.7%Effective FG%53.0%

47.3%True Shooting %53.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate21.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate20.0%

39.6%3-Point Rate14.0%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Texas State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.