NJIT

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%NJIT

75.0%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMass Lowell -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUMass Lowell -300

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNJIT 69

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 77

Team Comparison

NJITMetricUMass Lowell

38.5MMH Power Index43.8

98.1Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

-9.1Net Efficiency-2.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.6

-5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

68.3Tempo69.4

47.0%Effective FG%51.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-6.2Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMass Lowell HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMass Lowell holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.8–38.5), offensive efficiency (107.9–98.1), net efficiency (-2.0–-9.1), recent form (1.0–-5.8).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–109.9), strength of schedule (-0.5–-4.6), ball security (16.9–17.6).

Final

NJIT

73—64

UMass Lowell

NJIT by 9 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NJITTEAM STATUMass Lowell

24-61FG21-58

39.0%FG%36.0%

6-243PT4-18

25.0%3PT%22.0%

19-24FT18-25

79.0%FT%72.0%

37Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists7

7Turnovers12

6Steals1

3Blocks5

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ari Fulton	G	36	6-12	4-9	8-8	2	2	0	0	24
Sebastian Robinson	G	35	8-17	0-3	4-6	4	3	1	0	20
John Kelly	F	22	2-4	0-0	4-5	4	2	0	0	8
Melvyn Ebonkoli	F	21	3-8	0-0	2-3	9	0	1	2	8
David Bolden	G	32	1-9	1-6	1-2	2	1	2	0	4
Malachi Arrington	C	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Rocco Awad	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jordan Rogers	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	2
Quentin Duncan	G	4	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Piggee	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Angel Montas Jr.	G	36	7-16	2-4	6-7	11	1	1	1	22
Xavier Spencer	G	40	4-13	1-4	2-4	7	0	0	0	11
Darrel Yepdo	G	31	3-9	1-6	4-4	5	3	0	0	11
Austin Green	F	31	3-6	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	2	9
Shawn Simmons II	F	20	2-5	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	0	6
Khalil Farmer	G	23	2-4	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	2	5
Victor Okojie	F	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Walter	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

104.0Offensive Efficiency91.2

91.2Defensive Efficiency104.0

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

44.3%Effective FG%39.7%

50.4%True Shooting %45.8%

9.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

39.3%Free Throw Rate43.1%

39.3%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

NJIT won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.