UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

90.7%UMBC

9.3%Bryant

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL137.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -975

Bryant

9-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 75

Projected Total137.2

Projected ScoreBryant 62

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricBryant

59.1MMH Power Index34.1

113.0Offensive Efficiency98.6

99.0Defensive Efficiency110.2

14.0Net Efficiency-11.6

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.3

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.0

65.5Tempo65.8

54.3%Effective FG%48.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate20.0%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate31.2%

9.1Average Margin-7.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–34.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.2), net efficiency (14.0–-11.6).

Bryant COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-5.6), offensive rebounding (28.1–25.2).

Final

UMBC

74—79

Bryant

Bryant by 5 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATBryant

23-53FG31-60

43.0%FG%52.0%

11-303PT9-24

37.0%3PT%38.0%

17-20FT8-12

85.0%FT%67.0%

25Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists14

11Turnovers15

7Steals7

—Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	40	7-18	5-16	1-1	5	4	3	20
Caden Diggs	F	30	4-7	2-3	4-4	2	0	1	14
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	30	4-8	2-5	3-4	4	2	2	13
Jah'Likai King	G	36	3-9	0-3	6-6	1	3	1	12
Ace Valentine	G	40	3-7	1-1	0-0	4	6	0	7
Josh Odunowo	F	25	1-2	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	3
Cougar Downing	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	3
Paul Greene	F	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2

Bryant

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Timofei Rudovskii	F	38	8-17	6-11	0-0	8	0	0	1	22
Aaron Davis III	F	42	7-12	3-8	2-2	5	0	2	2	19
Ashley Sims II	F	41	5-10	0-0	6-8	6	2	0	0	16
Keegan Harvey	F	35	5-8	0-0	0-1	10	1	0	1	10
Ty Tabales	G	37	3-9	0-5	0-1	3	7	4	0	6
Jakai Robinson	G	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Gio Sanford	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Ethane Bourgade	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

107.9Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency107.9

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

53.8%Effective FG%59.2%

59.2%True Shooting %60.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate21.8%

37.7%Free Throw Rate20.0%

56.6%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Bryant won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.