New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%New Mexico State

68.7%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -219

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 72

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreLiberty 78

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricLiberty

51.2MMH Power Index53.7

108.9Offensive Efficiency119.0

104.5Defensive Efficiency108.0

4.4Net Efficiency11.0

-0.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

68.9Tempo65.3

48.6%Effective FG%60.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate13.2%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

37.0%Free Throw Rate32.1%

3.1Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–108.9), net efficiency (11.0–4.4), shooting efficiency (60.5–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–108.0), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.0), recent form (-2.0–-4.2).

Final

New Mexico State

71—73

Liberty

Liberty by 2 • 58.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATLiberty

29-61FG26-48

48.0%FG%54.0%

11-253PT7-15

44.0%3PT%47.0%

2-4FT14-18

50.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists16

7Turnovers6

3Steals3

4Blocks—

16Fouls8

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	36	6-10	4-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	16
Jemel Jones	G	33	5-15	3-6	2-4	6	2	1	1	15
Elijah Elliott	G	22	5-9	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	12
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	30	5-7	0-1	0-0	12	1	0	2	10
Julius Mims	F	33	4-9	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	8
Chris Terrell	G	22	2-5	2-3	0-0	2	5	2	0	6
Jayland Randall	G	12	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Kyrese Mullen	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabe Pickens	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brett Decker Jr.	G	36	7-12	2-5	1-2	2	0	0	17
JJ Harper	G	34	6-7	2-3	3-3	4	1	3	17
Josh Smith	F	26	5-8	1-1	3-4	3	0	0	14
Zach Cleveland	F	35	3-6	0-0	5-6	6	7	0	11
Kaden Metheny	G	34	3-9	1-4	0-1	3	4	0	7
Colin Porter	G	27	2-4	1-2	2-2	3	4	0	7
Zander Carter	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.3Possessions58.3

121.8Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency121.8

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

56.6%Effective FG%61.5%

56.4%True Shooting %64.5%

11.9%Turnover Rate10.4%

6.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

41.0%3-Point Rate31.3%

1.86Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Liberty won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.