Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.9%Jacksonville

84.1%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -529

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 71

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricCentral Arkansas

43.6MMH Power Index54

109.8Offensive Efficiency113.9

110.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

-0.5Net Efficiency8.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.6Tempo71.0

51.7%Effective FG%54.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-0.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–43.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.8), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–29.6), free throw rate (33.9–30.7).

Final

Jacksonville

60—62

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 2 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

20-63FG21-48

32.0%FG%44.0%

7-343PT5-17

21.0%3PT%29.0%

13-17FT15-21

76.0%FT%71.0%

39Rebounds37

17Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists15

6Turnovers10

8Steals3

5Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Wood	G	31	6-15	4-11	2-4	6	1	0	2	18
Evan Sterck	G	36	5-12	2-7	0-0	6	3	2	1	12
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	25	2-14	1-9	6-6	4	1	3	0	11
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	33	2-6	0-1	2-3	8	2	1	0	6
Donovan Rivers	F	20	1-3	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	2	4
Charles Caporaso	C	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jaylen Jones	G	21	1-8	0-4	1-2	1	2	0	0	3
Allen Udemadu	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Jaylen Jordon	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Chris Arias	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Roman Loux	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Moore	G	36	6-11	3-3	4-6	3	3	0	0	19
Camren Hunter	G	32	6-13	0-3	1-2	8	3	2	0	13
Cole McCormick	F	25	4-8	1-4	3-4	5	0	0	1	12
Ty Robinson	G	31	2-9	1-6	3-5	5	3	0	0	8
Malchiah Marable	F	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Truman Byrne	F	17	0-0	0-0	4-4	4	2	0	0	4
Parker Applegate	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Harry Beauchamp	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tyler Lee	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

101.5Offensive Efficiency104.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency101.5

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

37.3%Effective FG%49.0%

42.2%True Shooting %53.5%

10.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

27.0%Free Throw Rate43.8%

54.0%3-Point Rate35.4%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.