Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Eastern Illinois

72.4%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -262

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 67

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 74

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricLittle Rock

39.9MMH Power Index44

99.6Offensive Efficiency103.0

104.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

-4.8Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.4Tempo68.5

47.5%Effective FG%50.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

33.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-3.2Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), recent form (-0.7–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–108.2), net efficiency (-4.8–-5.2), ball security (18.5–18.7).

Final

Eastern Illinois

63—74

Little Rock

Little Rock by 11 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATLittle Rock

24-53FG26-58

45.0%FG%45.0%

7-193PT8-20

37.0%3PT%40.0%

8-10FT14-17

80.0%FT%82.0%

28Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists17

17Turnovers12

6Steals8

3Blocks5

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Fruster	G	31	4-12	2-5	4-4	1	2	2	0	14
Kooper Jacobi	F	34	4-12	2-5	1-2	5	1	1	0	11
Andre Washington	G	27	3-6	0-2	2-3	3	3	0	0	8
Nazareth Fisher	F	26	4-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	8
Malik Olafioye	G	17	3-7	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	7
Prince Johnson	F	14	3-3	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	1	7
Meechie White	G	27	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	3	1	1	5
Preston Turner	G	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Terry McMorris	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kachi Nzeh	F	35	4-11	3-8	6-7	5	2	1	2	17
Johnathan Lawson	G	36	3-9	3-7	6-6	3	8	0	1	15
Cameron Wallace	F	30	7-11	0-0	0-0	10	3	1	0	14
Braxton Bayless	G	28	5-12	2-3	2-2	3	2	2	0	14
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	34	5-7	0-0	0-0	7	1	3	1	10
Truman Claytor IV	F	25	2-5	0-2	0-2	5	1	1	0	4
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

97.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

114.7Defensive Efficiency97.7

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

51.9%Effective FG%51.7%

54.5%True Shooting %56.0%

25.9%Turnover Rate19.0%

18.9%Free Throw Rate29.3%

35.8%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.