Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.6%Morehead State

80.4%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -410

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 72

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreTennessee State 83

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricTennessee State

47.3MMH Power Index55.4

110.8Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

0.8Net Efficiency8.2

-4.0Strength of Schedule-3.1

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

67.9Tempo72.4

51.3%Effective FG%50.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

0.5Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (8.2–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–50.9), offensive rebounding (36.4–34.8), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Morehead State

100—105

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 5 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATTennessee State

31-68FG38-64

46.0%FG%59.0%

9-223PT11-18

41.0%3PT%61.0%

29-34FT18-26

85.0%FT%69.0%

36Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds10

22Assists27

8Turnovers11

6Steals6

1Blocks9

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
George Marshall	G	39	10-20	5-11	4-5	6	4	4	0	29
Jon Carroll	F	41	5-8	0-0	12-15	8	0	1	0	22
Chase Dawson	G	29	6-11	3-7	2-2	0	3	0	0	17
Davion Cunningham	G	31	3-12	0-1	9-10	6	6	0	0	15
Tamaury Releford	C	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	6
Vince Dawson III	G	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Josiah LeGree	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	7	0	0	4
Anouar Mellouk	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Tyonne Farrell	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Nkrumah	G	41	12-20	2-3	4-7	7	5	0	0	30
Carlous Williams	F	27	6-7	4-5	3-3	2	2	0	0	19
Travis Harper II	G	36	5-9	4-8	2-2	6	4	1	1	16
Antoine Lorick III	F	32	6-7	0-0	2-5	5	3	3	6	14
Khalil London	G	17	1-5	1-2	6-8	4	2	1	1	9
Dante Harris	G	35	3-8	0-0	0-0	1	10	1	0	6
Jalen Pitre	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Kavien Jones	F	12	1-3	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	0	3
Jabrion Spikes	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

128.5Offensive Efficiency135.0

135.0Defensive Efficiency128.5

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

52.2%Effective FG%68.0%

59.4%True Shooting %68.8%

10.2%Turnover Rate14.2%

50.0%Free Throw Rate40.6%

32.4%3-Point Rate28.1%

2.75Assist / Turnover2.45

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.