Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Tarleton State

51.6%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Utah -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Utah -107

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 77

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 77

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricSouthern Utah

44.6MMH Power Index40.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency105.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.6Net Efficiency-4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

72.2Tempo72.3

49.0%Effective FG%52.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–40.6), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), net efficiency (1.6–-4.4), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–103.2), recent form (-3.3–-6.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.0).

Final

Tarleton State

105—106

Southern Utah

Southern Utah by 1 • 90.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATSouthern Utah

38-74FG31-63

51.0%FG%49.0%

8-153PT13-32

53.0%3PT%41.0%

21-28FT31-42

75.0%FT%74.0%

39Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists19

16Turnovers18

12Steals9

1Blocks3

31Fouls24

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Johnson	G	30	13-22	4-4	10-12	5	2	1	0	40
Cam McDowell	G	31	8-14	2-3	6-8	5	3	2	0	24
Chris Mpaka	F	20	5-9	0-0	4-6	6	0	1	0	14
Kaia Isaac	G	34	4-6	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	9
Leroy Kelly IV	G	36	3-5	1-2	1-1	5	1	1	0	8
DJ Dormu	G	14	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Jordan Mizell	G	27	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	2
Matyas Vrabel	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Freddy Hicks	G	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ocypher Owens	F	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	3	0	0
Kade Douglas	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Andy Sigiscar	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Jones	G	38	7-13	6-11	2-2	2	2	2	0	22
Tanner Hayhurst	G	43	6-9	2-4	6-7	7	4	2	0	20
Jaiden Feroah	F	24	4-6	3-5	6-6	9	2	1	1	17
Jalen Lee	G	20	4-9	2-6	4-4	7	0	1	0	14
Lorenzo Abellar	G	31	2-7	0-2	5-6	1	5	1	0	9
Elijah Duval	G	27	3-10	0-2	3-9	4	3	2	0	9
Cale Barclay	F	22	3-3	0-0	2-4	4	2	0	0	8
Isaiah Cottrell	F	18	2-6	0-2	3-4	2	1	0	1	7
Kai Burdick	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

90.7Possessions90.7

115.8Offensive Efficiency116.9

116.9Defensive Efficiency115.8

-1.1Net Efficiency1.1

56.8%Effective FG%59.5%

60.1%True Shooting %63.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate20.2%

37.8%Free Throw Rate66.7%

20.3%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.81Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Southern Utah won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 90.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.