UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.6%UC Santa Barbara

16.4%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -510

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 83

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 73

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Bakersfield

51.4MMH Power Index32.2

113.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

7.1Net Efficiency-12.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

68.5Tempo73.0

54.8%Effective FG%46.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

4.8Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

75—69

Cal State Bakersfield

UC Santa Barbara by 6 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

21-47FG26-55

45.0%FG%47.0%

10-263PT2-12

38.0%3PT%17.0%

23-29FT15-21

79.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists6

11Turnovers8

2Steals5

6Blocks4

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smith	F	26	4-6	2-2	6-6	3	0	0	0	16
Zion Sensley	G	21	5-9	3-6	0-0	8	1	1	1	13
Miro Little	G	28	3-6	3-6	3-4	1	4	0	1	12
CJ Shaw	G	28	2-7	0-2	6-8	0	1	0	0	10
Marvin McGhee IV	G	20	2-6	2-5	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Hosana Kitenge	F	20	3-5	0-0	2-3	4	3	0	0	8
Michael Simcoe	F	6	1-2	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	1	3
Aidan Mahaney	G	35	1-6	0-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Evans Kipruto	C	13	0-0	0-0	2-3	2	0	1	3	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Price	G	26	6-12	2-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	14
Jaden Alexander	G	25	4-9	0-2	5-7	2	0	0	0	13
Ronald Jessamy	F	27	6-8	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	12
Dailin Smith	G	25	4-11	0-2	4-4	3	1	0	0	12
AJ George	G	26	3-8	0-2	2-4	0	1	0	0	8
Kadar Waller	G	31	2-5	0-2	1-2	4	2	2	0	5
Tom Mark	F	23	0-1	0-0	3-4	3	2	1	1	3
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	3	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

121.2Offensive Efficiency111.5

111.5Defensive Efficiency121.2

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

55.3%Effective FG%49.1%

61.7%True Shooting %53.1%

17.8%Turnover Rate12.9%

61.7%Free Throw Rate38.2%

55.3%3-Point Rate21.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.