Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Northern Colorado

53.0%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -113

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 77

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScorePortland State 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricPortland State

53.7MMH Power Index50.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

107.6Defensive Efficiency100.2

8.4Net Efficiency9.1

-4.3Strength of Schedule-5.6

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.1Tempo70.1

56.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.0Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.3), strength of schedule (-4.3–-5.6), recent form (10.8–0.4).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–107.6), net efficiency (9.1–8.4), offensive rebounding (31.6–27.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

73—76

Portland State

Portland State by 3 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATPortland State

24-53FG26-53

45.0%FG%49.0%

12-313PT4-16

39.0%3PT%25.0%

13-19FT20-28

68.0%FT%71.0%

23Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds11

20Assists12

14Turnovers17

11Steals8

2Blocks3

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	36	6-15	3-6	3-3	3	6	2	0	18
Brock Wisne	F	32	7-13	2-7	0-0	1	3	1	1	16
Ring Nyeri	F	21	4-7	3-4	1-3	4	0	0	0	12
Zach Bloch	G	36	2-6	2-6	5-7	0	3	6	0	11
Ibu Yamazaki	F	31	2-5	2-4	3-4	5	2	1	0	9
Egan Shields	C	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Vincent Delano	G	21	0-2	0-2	1-2	4	4	1	1	1
Hunter Caldwell	C	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ariik Mawien	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	40	7-15	0-4	5-5	3	7	1	0	19
Terri Miller Jr.	F	38	6-15	2-7	4-6	8	3	0	1	18
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	40	6-7	0-0	5-7	7	0	1	1	17
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	28	4-8	1-2	3-6	8	1	3	0	12
Brycen Long	G	8	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Tidor	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Alex Dupre	G	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Isaiah Williams	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

101.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency101.1

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

56.6%Effective FG%52.8%

58.8%True Shooting %57.3%

19.4%Turnover Rate23.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate52.8%

58.5%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Portland State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.