Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Northern Arizona

76.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -329

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 75

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreSacramento State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricSacramento State

36.9MMH Power Index43

107.1Offensive Efficiency106.1

114.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

-7.7Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.9

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

66.6Tempo73.2

53.5%Effective FG%48.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.2%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-5.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–36.9), defensive efficiency (112.0–114.8), net efficiency (-5.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.5).

Final

Northern Arizona

69—83

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 14 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATSacramento State

26-58FG27-59

45.0%FG%46.0%

7-223PT11-23

32.0%3PT%48.0%

10-13FT18-20

77.0%FT%90.0%

35Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists17

13Turnovers7

4Steals8

3Blocks5

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Traivar Jackson	F	28	8-11	0-0	2-3	9	0	2	0	18
Karl Poom	F	24	3-9	2-5	6-8	5	1	0	0	14
Brennan Peterson	G	32	3-8	3-8	0-0	2	3	1	0	9
Isaiah Shaw	G	25	3-7	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	2	9
Arne Osojnik	G	14	4-7	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Chris Komin	G	30	3-4	0-1	0-0	5	3	1	1	6
Ryan Abelman	G	35	2-10	1-3	0-0	2	7	0	0	5
Kavon Bradford	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Erez Poran	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Oakland Fort	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Diego Campisano	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	38	11-19	3-6	4-5	6	4	6	1	29
Jayden Teat	G	18	4-8	4-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Mark Lavrenov	F	24	2-3	0-0	7-7	10	1	0	2	11
Taj Glover	G	28	2-5	0-1	4-4	4	7	0	0	8
Arman Madi	G	27	2-7	0-2	3-4	6	3	1	1	7
Jahni Summers	G	32	2-9	2-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Shaqir O'Neal	F	17	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Romari Robinson	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Brandon Gardner	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

103.9Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency103.9

-21.1Net Efficiency21.1

50.9%Effective FG%55.1%

53.8%True Shooting %60.6%

19.6%Turnover Rate10.5%

22.4%Free Throw Rate33.9%

37.9%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.23Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.