Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Ohio

44.1%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -127

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 74

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreBall State 74

Team Comparison

OhioMetricBall State

48MMH Power Index41.3

109.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency104.7

-1.0Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.1Strength of Schedule-3.9

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

71.0Tempo66.4

52.0%Effective FG%48.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

37.8%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-0.7Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (109.7–101.7), net efficiency (-1.0–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–110.7), recent form (-0.9–-1.0).

Final

Ohio

71—76

Ball State

Ball State by 5 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATBall State

26-54FG22-51

48.0%FG%43.0%

4-163PT7-19

25.0%3PT%37.0%

15-19FT25-31

79.0%FT%81.0%

31Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists11

12Turnovers10

3Steals8

3Blocks1

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	39	9-18	2-5	2-3	2	4	0	0	22
Aidan Hadaway	F	38	9-14	0-2	4-4	7	1	0	0	22
Javan Simmons	F	31	4-8	0-0	5-8	6	1	1	3	13
JJ Kelly	G	34	3-7	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	9
Ajay Sheldon	G	36	1-5	1-5	2-2	4	0	1	0	5
Jalen Breath	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jesse Burris	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dior Conners	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kiir Kuany	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armoni Zeigler	G	38	7-14	2-3	12-13	7	4	1	0	28
Davion Hill	G	27	7-10	1-2	4-4	4	4	3	0	19
Devon Barnes	G	29	3-10	2-7	4-4	1	0	0	0	12
Mason Jones	F	37	2-4	1-3	2-4	4	2	1	1	7
Elmore James IV	G	28	1-7	1-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Cam Denson	F	11	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	4
Preston Copeland	F	30	0-0	0-0	1-4	7	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

51.9%Effective FG%50.0%

56.3%True Shooting %57.8%

17.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate60.8%

29.6%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.58Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Ball State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.