Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Colorado State

72.4%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -262

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 72

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricBoise State

55.4MMH Power Index59.5

117.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.2Net Efficiency6.8

0.4Strength of Schedule4.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

64.7Tempo68.6

58.6%Effective FG%52.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate42.7%

4.6Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Colorado State

73—79

Boise State

Boise State by 6 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATBoise State

23-47FG23-49

49.0%FG%47.0%

14-253PT12-30

56.0%3PT%40.0%

13-14FT21-27

93.0%FT%78.0%

26Rebounds28

6Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists12

15Turnovers11

3Steals8

—Blocks2

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	31	6-11	5-8	0-0	5	3	0	17
Rashaan Mbemba	F	25	6-7	2-2	3-4	4	1	0	17
Jevin Muniz	G	27	3-6	2-4	6-6	8	4	1	14
Josh Pascarelli	G	29	3-8	2-4	2-2	4	2	1	10
Jase Butler	G	27	1-4	1-2	2-2	1	1	1	5
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	22	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	5
Kyle Jorgensen	F	16	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	3
Carey Booth	F	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	2
Darnez Slater	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jojo McIver	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Andrews	G	30	5-11	4-7	7-8	0	2	0	0	21
Andrew Meadow	F	34	5-9	3-6	2-4	4	1	0	0	15
Drew Fielder	C	25	3-7	1-3	4-5	8	4	0	0	11
Javan Buchanan	F	25	3-7	2-5	2-2	5	0	4	0	10
Dominic Parolin	F	15	2-3	0-1	4-5	3	0	0	1	8
RJ Keene II	G	28	2-5	2-5	0-1	5	1	1	0	6
Pearson Carmichael	F	24	2-5	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Aginaldo Neto	G	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	2	1	0	4
Spencer Ahrens	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

117.2Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency117.2

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

63.8%Effective FG%59.2%

68.0%True Shooting %63.9%

23.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

29.8%Free Throw Rate55.1%

53.2%3-Point Rate61.2%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Boise State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.