Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Indiana State

82.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -465

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreMurray State 85

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMurray State

44.4MMH Power Index53.6

104.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.0

-1.3Net Efficiency4.0

0.1Strength of Schedule3.5

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.3Tempo72.3

53.6%Effective FG%54.0%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-0.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–104.7), net efficiency (4.0–-1.3), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–111.0), recent form (-5.2–-9.5).

Final

Indiana State

81—85

Murray State

Murray State by 4 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMurray State

32-66FG29-62

48.0%FG%47.0%

8-163PT11-29

50.0%3PT%38.0%

9-15FT16-23

60.0%FT%70.0%

35Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists11

12Turnovers11

8Steals5

3Blocks13

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camp Wagner	G	34	8-16	2-5	2-2	8	3	2	0	20
Ian Scott	F	35	6-12	0-0	2-2	7	1	3	1	14
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	22	4-8	0-2	3-4	3	1	1	0	11
Sterling Young	G	24	4-9	2-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	10
Enel St. Bernard	F	29	4-10	0-1	1-4	7	1	0	1	9
Hunter Harding	C	15	3-3	1-1	1-3	1	0	0	1	8
Xavier Hall	G	18	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Bruno Alocen	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Derek Vorst	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	28	6-13	2-4	7-7	2	3	0	1	21
Fred King	C	26	5-9	0-0	4-6	13	1	1	4	14
Mason Miller	F	29	5-9	3-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	13
Layne Taylor	G	28	4-9	3-6	2-4	7	2	2	1	13
Roman Domon	G	14	2-5	1-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
JJ Traynor	F	28	2-5	0-2	1-2	6	2	0	3	5
Brayden Shorter	G	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
KJ Tenner	G	11	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	5
Dylan Anderson	C	7	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	3	2
Mathis Courbon	G	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	1
Brock Vice	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

112.5Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency112.5

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

54.5%Effective FG%55.6%

55.4%True Shooting %58.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.5%

22.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

24.2%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Murray State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.