Bradley

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Bradley

62.2%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -165

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBradley 72

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 77

Team Comparison

BradleyMetricIllinois State

54.4MMH Power Index54.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

5.2Net Efficiency9.2

1.6Strength of Schedule1.0

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

69.9Tempo67.5

51.2%Effective FG%54.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.7%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.6Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.3–51.2).

Bradley COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.4–54.3), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (0.9–-4.4).

Final

Bradley

62—88

Illinois State

Illinois State by 26 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BradleyTEAM STATIllinois State

20-57FG34-64

35.0%FG%53.0%

5-143PT10-23

36.0%3PT%43.0%

17-23FT10-13

74.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists17

12Turnovers8

3Steals3

2Blocks3

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Demarion Burch	G	25	5-9	1-2	1-1	2	0	0	0	12
AJ Smith	F	21	3-5	0-0	5-7	2	1	1	0	11
Jaquan Johnson	G	31	2-10	2-3	4-4	3	4	1	0	10
Dietrich Richardson	G	20	4-10	0-2	1-3	3	0	0	0	9
Ahmet Jonovic	C	26	2-5	0-0	3-4	6	2	0	2	7
Corey Thomas	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Alex Huibregtse	G	22	1-7	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Montana Wheeler	G	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Matthew Zobrist	G	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Timoty van der Knaap	G	19	0-5	0-1	1-2	7	0	0	0	1
Kai Yu	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gus Rugaard	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boden Skunberg	G	31	9-15	2-6	3-4	4	1	0	0	23
Chase Walker	F	22	8-12	0-1	4-4	11	1	3	1	20
Landon Moore	G	18	4-4	1-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	10
Mason Klabo	G	23	3-8	2-3	0-0	6	3	0	1	8
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	18	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Johnny Kinziger	G	29	3-8	1-3	0-1	1	3	0	0	7
Landon Wolf	G	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	5
Jack Daugherty	F	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ty Pence	G	19	0-6	0-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Brandon Lieb	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Cameron Barnes	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Ty Blake	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

93.1Offensive Efficiency132.1

132.1Defensive Efficiency93.1

-39.0Net Efficiency39.0

39.5%Effective FG%60.9%

45.6%True Shooting %62.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate12.3%

40.4%Free Throw Rate20.3%

24.6%3-Point Rate35.9%

0.58Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.