Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Belmont

42.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -134

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 77

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricSouthern Illinois

61.8MMH Power Index54.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency98.5

14.9Net Efficiency4.9

-0.2Strength of Schedule1.6

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

70.7Tempo70.6

60.7%Effective FG%49.5%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

32.7%Free Throw Rate32.3%

10.5Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–103.4), net efficiency (14.9–4.9), recent form (10.0–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.7), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.2), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Belmont

73—68

Southern Illinois

Belmont by 5 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

26-62FG21-58

42.0%FG%36.0%

5-253PT9-25

20.0%3PT%36.0%

16-23FT17-20

70.0%FT%85.0%

41Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists15

9Turnovers12

7Steals5

7Blocks5

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eoin Dillon	F	23	6-8	3-4	3-4	4	0	0	1	18
Jack Smiley	G	26	5-7	1-3	3-3	4	3	2	0	14
Jabez Jenkins	G	24	3-9	0-2	7-7	6	0	1	1	13
Sam Orme	F	34	6-12	0-4	0-0	7	3	2	2	12
Drew Scharnowski	F	21	3-7	0-0	3-9	1	1	2	3	9
Brigham Rogers	F	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Win Miller	G	15	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Tyler Lundblade	G	28	0-7	0-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Isaiah West	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Cooper Haynes	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Steffe	G	33	6-15	3-8	9-10	1	4	0	1	24
Jalen Haynes	G	32	7-13	3-5	5-6	3	4	1	0	22
Rolyns Aligbe	F	22	3-7	1-4	2-2	8	2	1	1	9
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	27	3-11	2-5	0-0	8	2	0	1	8
Max Pikaar	F	22	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	1	3
Jorge Moreno	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Davion Sykes	G	21	0-3	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	0	0
Caden Hawkins	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Prince Aligbe	F	13	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

105.5Offensive Efficiency98.3

98.3Defensive Efficiency105.5

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

46.0%Effective FG%44.0%

50.1%True Shooting %50.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate34.5%

40.3%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Belmont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.