Wyoming

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Wyoming

37.9%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWyoming -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWyoming -164

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWyoming 75

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 74

Team Comparison

WyomingMetricFresno State

56.1MMH Power Index47.1

113.4Offensive Efficiency104.9

107.7Defensive Efficiency104.9

5.7Net Efficiency0.0

2.2Strength of Schedule1.5

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

67.8Tempo69.4

52.2%Effective FG%51.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.7%Free Throw Rate35.5%

3.9Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wyoming HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWyoming holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.4–104.9), net efficiency (5.7–0.0), strength of schedule (2.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.7).

Final

Wyoming

60—63

Fresno State

Fresno State by 3 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WyomingTEAM STATFresno State

22-54FG21-51

41.0%FG%41.0%

5-193PT3-18

26.0%3PT%17.0%

11-12FT18-27

92.0%FT%67.0%

36Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists12

14Turnovers8

3Steals8

2Blocks4

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wyoming

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leland Walker	G	34	5-11	1-2	6-6	4	5	0	1	17
Nasir Meyer	G	38	6-13	1-3	0-1	7	1	2	0	13
Damarion Dennis	G	26	4-12	2-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	10
Gavin Gores	F	25	3-5	0-1	2-2	7	0	0	1	8
Adam Harakow	G	21	1-5	0-3	3-3	4	1	0	0	5
Kiani Saxon	F	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Khaden Bennett	G	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Uriyah Rojas	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Abou Magassa	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Simm-Marten Saadi	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Douglas Jr.	G	32	3-9	2-7	5-6	1	1	0	0	13
DeShawn Gory	F	29	6-12	0-2	1-2	6	2	1	1	13
Jake Heidbreder	G	35	3-9	0-3	4-5	3	4	1	1	10
Zaon Collins	G	28	2-5	0-1	4-7	2	1	3	0	8
DJ Stickman	G	20	2-2	0-0	3-6	2	2	1	0	7
Jac Mani	F	15	2-7	0-3	1-1	3	0	0	0	5
Wilson Jacques	C	25	2-4	0-0	0-0	9	1	2	2	4
Cameron Faas	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Bastien Rieber	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

98.7Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency98.7

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

45.4%Effective FG%44.1%

50.3%True Shooting %49.4%

23.1%Turnover Rate13.2%

22.2%Free Throw Rate52.9%

35.2%3-Point Rate35.3%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.