Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%Virginia

44.9%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -123

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreSMU 79

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricSMU

68.9MMH Power Index62.5

119.0Offensive Efficiency118.2

101.8Defensive Efficiency109.6

17.2Net Efficiency8.6

5.2Strength of Schedule7.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.6Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%55.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

11.6Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–62.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.2), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.6), net efficiency (17.2–8.6).

SMU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–5.2), shooting efficiency (55.7–55.0), ball security (15.7–16.0).

Final

Virginia

72—68

SMU

Virginia by 4 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATSMU

25-60FG26-61

42.0%FG%43.0%

12-313PT5-13

39.0%3PT%38.0%

10-12FT11-14

83.0%FT%79.0%

40Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds12

18Assists12

11Turnovers8

5Steals5

3Blocks5

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	33	7-14	6-10	3-4	11	1	1	0	23
Thijs De Ridder	F	28	5-12	1-2	6-6	6	0	0	0	17
Devin Tillis	F	14	4-6	3-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	11
Ugonna Onyenso	C	18	4-5	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	9
Sam Lewis	G	23	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Chance Mallory	G	23	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	4	2	0	3
Jacari White	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Johann Grunloh	C	22	1-5	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
Dallin Hall	G	31	0-8	0-8	0-0	2	9	1	1	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	32	7-16	1-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	16
B.J. Edwards	G	35	5-9	3-4	0-0	6	5	2	0	13
Boopie Miller	G	35	4-12	0-3	4-5	1	3	1	0	12
Samet Yigitoglu	C	26	3-11	0-0	4-5	5	1	1	3	10
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Corey Washington	F	27	1-1	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	1	4
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jaden Toombs	C	20	1-6	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Mitchell Holmes	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Sam Walters	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

115.8Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency115.8

6.4Net Efficiency-6.4

51.7%Effective FG%46.7%

54.8%True Shooting %50.3%

18.1%Turnover Rate12.6%

20.0%Free Throw Rate23.0%

51.7%3-Point Rate21.3%

1.64Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Virginia won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.