Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Wagner

52.7%New Haven

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Haven -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL135.9

MODEL MONEYLINENew Haven -111

New Haven

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 67

Projected Total135.9

Projected ScoreNew Haven 69

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricNew Haven

42.9MMH Power Index39.3

105.5Offensive Efficiency101.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.2

-0.6Net Efficiency-2.1

-5.0Strength of Schedule-6.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

67.6Tempo64.2

50.2%Effective FG%50.4%

18.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.8%

-0.4Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–39.3), offensive efficiency (105.5–101.1), net efficiency (-0.6–-2.1), strength of schedule (-5.0–-6.8).

New Haven COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–106.1), recent form (2.7–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.4–50.2).

Final

Wagner

74—80

New Haven

New Haven by 6 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATNew Haven

29-55FG26-49

53.0%FG%53.0%

11-233PT15-28

48.0%3PT%54.0%

5-7FT13-14

71.0%FT%93.0%

33Rebounds19

14Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists16

17Turnovers9

3Steals7

1Blocks—

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Jones	G	33	9-16	1-5	1-1	2	0	2	0	20
Jaden Baker	G	31	6-10	5-6	1-2	4	4	0	0	18
Michael Cooper	G	23	3-4	1-1	3-3	6	2	0	1	10
John Awoke	G	21	3-6	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Binael Basil	F	29	4-7	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Eddie Placer	G	31	3-8	1-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Makhai Anderson	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	2	0	0	2
Bryan Akanmu	F	17	0-3	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	0	0
Elijah Brown	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Haven

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Najimi George	G	33	8-11	3-4	2-2	1	5	0	21
Kheni Briggs	G	26	6-9	3-5	4-4	0	0	3	19
Teshaun Steele	G	17	2-5	1-2	5-5	4	1	0	10
Maison Adeleye	G	8	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	0	0	9
Stefano Faloppa	F	25	3-6	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	8
Jabri Fitzpatrick	G	37	1-4	1-2	2-3	4	3	3	5
Andre Pasha	F	35	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	4	0	5
Aidan Losiewicz	G	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	3
Kyle Kearson	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0
Tristan Burth	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

122.3Offensive Efficiency132.2

132.2Defensive Efficiency122.3

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

62.7%Effective FG%68.4%

63.4%True Shooting %71.9%

27.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

12.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

41.8%3-Point Rate57.1%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

New Haven won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.