Chattanooga

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Chattanooga

78.6%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -367

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChattanooga 74

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 83

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaMetricWestern Carolina

45.9MMH Power Index53

112.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

110.5Defensive Efficiency111.0

2.2Net Efficiency1.6

-4.4Strength of Schedule-0.9

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

68.1Tempo69.7

55.1%Effective FG%51.1%

14.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

23.5%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

29.2%Free Throw Rate30.8%

1.4Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.7–112.6), defensive efficiency (110.5–111.0), net efficiency (2.2–1.6), shooting efficiency (55.1–51.1).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.0–45.9), strength of schedule (-0.9–-4.4), recent form (13.1–-0.1).

Final

Chattanooga

90—82

Western Carolina

Chattanooga by 8 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ChattanoogaTEAM STATWestern Carolina

28-53FG30-66

53.0%FG%45.0%

16-313PT9-25

52.0%3PT%36.0%

18-19FT13-21

95.0%FT%62.0%

30Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds16

16Assists13

7Turnovers6

2Steals5

2Blocks2

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	30	5-8	2-4	7-7	6	2	0	0	19
Collin Mulholland	F	15	4-10	4-8	4-4	1	0	0	0	16
Brennan Watkins	G	30	3-5	3-4	1-1	7	3	0	0	10
Tate Darner	G	29	4-7	2-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	10
Billy Smith	G	25	3-8	2-4	2-2	1	1	0	0	10
Jikari Johnson	G	15	3-4	1-2	3-3	2	2	1	0	10
Josh Bowman	F	21	3-4	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	2	8
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	20	3-6	1-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	7
Houston Holland	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makai Richards	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Parker Robison	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julien Soumaoro	G	34	6-14	2-7	3-5	4	1	1	0	17
Cord Stansberry	G	30	4-15	1-7	5-6	3	0	0	0	14
Marcus Kell	F	31	4-6	1-2	2-5	6	5	1	0	11
Justin Johnson	G	14	5-7	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Tahlan Pettway	G	11	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	21	2-8	0-0	2-2	2	4	0	0	6
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	C	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	2	1	6
Samuel Dada	F	21	2-2	0-0	1-3	7	0	1	1	5
Tayeshaun Smith	F	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
CJ Hyland	G	9	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

138.5Offensive Efficiency126.2

126.2Defensive Efficiency138.5

12.3Net Efficiency-12.3

67.9%Effective FG%52.3%

72.6%True Shooting %54.0%

10.9%Turnover Rate9.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate31.8%

58.5%3-Point Rate37.9%

2.29Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Chattanooga won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.