Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Old Dominion

78.4%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -363

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 69

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreApp State 78

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricApp State

47.2MMH Power Index54.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency110.9

109.8Defensive Efficiency101.7

-2.4Net Efficiency9.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.2

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

70.9Tempo64.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-1.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.8), net efficiency (9.2–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.2).

Final

Old Dominion

75—73

App State

Old Dominion by 2 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATApp State

25-49FG26-56

51.0%FG%46.0%

11-233PT6-22

48.0%3PT%27.0%

14-23FT15-25

61.0%FT%60.0%

32Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists12

10Turnovers7

4Steals6

1Blocks3

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Battle	G	39	7-9	4-5	7-9	7	4	1	0	25
LJ Thomas	G	26	3-9	0-1	3-6	5	4	1	0	9
Jared Turner	F	20	3-8	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Zacch Wiggins	G	17	2-3	0-1	4-6	1	1	0	0	8
Robert Davis Jr.	G	37	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
KC Shaw	G	14	3-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Drew McKenna	G	13	2-5	1-3	0-2	1	1	1	0	5
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	4
Scottie Hubbard	G	14	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Donovan Raymond	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alonzo Dodd	G	36	10-16	1-3	6-6	4	9	2	0	27
Kasen Jennings	G	34	5-15	1-7	6-9	8	2	0	0	17
Luke Wilson	C	35	4-7	0-0	3-8	9	0	0	3	11
Jalen Tot	G	36	3-7	3-7	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Eren Banks	G	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	31	1-5	0-3	0-0	6	0	2	0	2
Chad Moodie	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	2
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

115.6Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency115.6

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

62.2%Effective FG%51.8%

62.6%True Shooting %53.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate10.8%

46.9%Free Throw Rate44.6%

46.9%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.