St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%St. Thomas-Minnesota

60.3%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -152

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricNorth Dakota State

59.8MMH Power Index59

116.8Offensive Efficiency115.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency100.8

14.6Net Efficiency14.6

-3.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

70.0Tempo69.6

59.2%Effective FG%54.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

10.2Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (116.8–115.4), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.6), recent form (14.7–14.3).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–102.2), net efficiency (14.6–14.6), offensive rebounding (32.0–22.1).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

65—68

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 3 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

22-52FG25-65

42.0%FG%38.0%

10-313PT8-26

32.0%3PT%31.0%

11-17FT10-15

65.0%FT%67.0%

33Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists14

15Turnovers13

6Steals9

4Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	33	4-12	2-8	6-8	3	6	4	0	16
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	27	5-11	2-5	3-5	3	1	0	1	15
Nick Janowski	G	34	4-9	3-6	0-0	5	0	1	0	11
Austin Herro	G	29	4-5	0-0	2-2	5	5	1	2	10
Carter Bjerke	F	29	2-7	2-7	0-2	4	1	0	0	6
Ben Oosterbaan	F	22	1-4	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	3
Jermaine Coleman	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Ryan Dufault	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevian Carson	G	37	5-12	4-7	2-2	6	2	3	1	16
Treyson Anderson	F	20	4-8	0-3	3-4	9	0	0	0	11
Emil Skytta	G	18	5-8	0-1	1-1	2	0	1	1	11
Andy Stefonowicz	G	31	3-8	3-7	0-0	2	4	0	0	9
Markhi Strickland	G	21	4-10	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Noah Feddersen	F	21	2-4	0-0	2-4	7	3	0	1	6
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	30	1-10	0-4	2-4	5	1	1	0	4
Tay Smith	G	19	1-5	1-4	0-0	5	1	3	0	3
Riley Massey	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

93.4Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency93.4

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

51.9%Effective FG%44.6%

54.1%True Shooting %47.1%

21.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.7%Free Throw Rate23.1%

59.6%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.