Stonehill

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Stonehill

79.5%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL134.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -388

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStonehill 63

Projected Total134.4

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 72

Team Comparison

StonehillMetricMercyhurst

37.9MMH Power Index45.5

97.5Offensive Efficiency105.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency102.2

-3.2Net Efficiency3.0

-5.4Strength of Schedule-5.7

-3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.1Tempo65.9

48.0%Effective FG%50.5%

19.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

29.2%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-2.2Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–37.9), offensive efficiency (105.2–97.5), net efficiency (3.0–-3.2), recent form (3.2–-3.4).

Stonehill COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–102.2), strength of schedule (-5.4–-5.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–26.8).

Final

Stonehill

62—57

Mercyhurst

Stonehill by 5 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StonehillTEAM STATMercyhurst

22-52FG24-68

42.0%FG%35.0%

5-163PT2-11

31.0%3PT%18.0%

13-24FT7-13

54.0%FT%54.0%

42Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists15

15Turnovers9

3Steals9

1Blocks5

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Stonehill

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chas Stinson	G	29	5-9	0-1	5-7	3	0	1	0	15
Davante Hackett	G	26	5-11	1-4	1-3	2	1	0	0	12
Trenton Ruth	G	25	3-6	2-2	1-2	0	2	1	0	9
Raymond Espinal-Guzman	F	36	3-8	0-2	2-2	8	1	0	0	8
Ethan Meuser	F	33	2-5	1-2	1-5	10	7	1	0	6
Hermann Koffi	G	37	2-8	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Ridvan Tutic	F	18	2-3	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	0	5
Rex Sunderland	G	20	0-2	0-1	2-3	4	1	0	1	2
Pearse McGuinn	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Qadir Martin	F	35	6-13	0-1	3-5	8	0	1	4	15
Jake Lemelman	G	38	6-14	1-2	0-1	7	4	1	0	13
Bernie Blunt III	G	35	2-18	0-6	4-5	3	3	1	0	8
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	16	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Christian Gamble	G	25	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
James Thomas	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Cameron Johnson	F	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sean Lang	G	28	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	4	3	0	2
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	22	1-6	0-0	0-1	3	2	1	0	2
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

88.8Offensive Efficiency81.7

81.7Defensive Efficiency88.8

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

47.1%Effective FG%36.8%

48.9%True Shooting %38.4%

21.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

46.2%Free Throw Rate19.1%

30.8%3-Point Rate16.2%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Stonehill won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.