Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.9%Central Connecticut

31.1%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -222

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 78

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 73

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricSaint Francis

44.4MMH Power Index32.7

111.4Offensive Efficiency101.2

107.0Defensive Efficiency114.7

4.4Net Efficiency-13.5

-7.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

66.3Tempo70.6

54.0%Effective FG%49.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.2%

2.9Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–32.7), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.7), net efficiency (4.4–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Central Connecticut

98—90

Saint Francis

Central Connecticut by 8 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATSaint Francis

30-50FG31-67

60.0%FG%46.0%

11-193PT12-31

58.0%3PT%39.0%

27-34FT16-22

79.0%FT%73.0%

27Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds16

21Assists19

7Turnovers6

4Steals3

—Blocks—

17Fouls23

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	36	10-14	4-4	10-12	9	2	0	34
Melo Sanchez	G	30	6-10	3-6	5-6	2	2	1	20
Jay Rodgers	G	34	2-5	1-3	8-9	1	13	2	13
Max Frazier	F	30	5-7	0-0	2-3	6	2	0	12
Roddy Jones	G	14	4-5	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	11
Daniel James	F	10	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	5
Ashton Reynolds	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	23	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	1
James Jones	G	15	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ahmad Harrison	G	33	7-14	3-8	0-0	4	7	0	17
Gestin Liberis	F	29	5-9	0-2	4-6	9	3	0	14
Skylar Wicks	G	24	3-10	0-4	8-8	5	4	1	14
Zion Russell	G	20	5-7	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	14
Victor Payne	G	25	4-6	4-6	0-2	5	0	0	12
Chris Moncrief	G	22	3-8	1-3	2-4	5	2	0	9
Ralph Martino Jr.	G	23	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	5
Brandon Russell	G	16	2-8	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	5
Cameron Tweedy	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

143.3Offensive Efficiency131.6

131.6Defensive Efficiency143.3

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

71.0%Effective FG%55.2%

74.1%True Shooting %58.1%

10.1%Turnover Rate8.9%

68.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

38.0%3-Point Rate46.3%

3.00Assist / Turnover3.17

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.