East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%East Tennessee State

53.5%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -115

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 76

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSamford 77

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricSamford

57.4MMH Power Index54.1

115.1Offensive Efficiency113.5

102.8Defensive Efficiency108.3

12.3Net Efficiency5.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-2.9

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

67.4Tempo69.5

55.4%Effective FG%54.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

35.0%Free Throw Rate42.5%

8.3Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.5), defensive efficiency (102.8–108.3), net efficiency (12.3–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–3.7), ball security (13.3–15.1), free throw rate (42.5–35.0).

Final

East Tennessee State

76—75

Samford

East Tennessee State by 1 • 60.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATSamford

27-49FG25-55

55.0%FG%45.0%

6-123PT14-32

50.0%3PT%44.0%

16-17FT11-13

94.0%FT%85.0%

30Rebounds25

4Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists17

6Turnovers6

4Steals4

3Blocks5

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blake Barkley	F	36	9-10	0-0	8-8	11	2	1	0	26
Brian Taylor II	G	33	4-11	1-2	4-4	3	2	0	0	13
Allen Strothers	G	28	5-8	1-1	0-0	1	3	3	0	11
Cam Morris III	F	19	4-4	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	2	10
Jaylen Smith	G	21	3-8	2-4	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Isaiah Sutherland	F	17	1-2	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	5
Maki Johnson	G	23	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jordan McCullum	F	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Gabe Sisk	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadin Booth	G	40	6-14	5-11	2-2	3	5	2	1	19
Cade Norris	G	30	6-11	3-6	1-2	1	1	0	0	16
Keaton Norris	G	38	5-9	2-5	2-2	4	6	2	0	14
Dylan Faulkner	F	30	3-7	0-0	6-7	7	3	0	4	12
Kam Martin	G	20	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	9
Isaiah Campbell-Finch	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaxon Pollard	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Will Shaver	C	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Judson Bjornstad	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.2Possessions60.2

126.2Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency126.2

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

61.2%Effective FG%58.2%

66.6%True Shooting %61.3%

10.2%Turnover Rate9.8%

34.7%Free Throw Rate23.6%

24.5%3-Point Rate58.2%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 60.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.